Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Butler County average of 4.3.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Against Butler County at 39.6%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 865 filings here across 13 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 13.7% of renter households were served. At $921 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Middletown commands.

In a typical year about 18.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.