Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017013500 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,866
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39017013500 (Middletown, Ohio) comes in at 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $921 monthly, set against $48,438 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$48,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4925, -84.3729 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$921 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 865Total filings over 13 yrs
- 18.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.7%Peak (2014)
- 74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 19.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 865 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 18.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.7% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017013500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013500?
Census tract 39017013500 in Middletown scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017013500?
Median gross rent is $921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013500?
25.0% of residents in tract 39017013500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,866.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 59th, minority 33th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 865 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.59% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017013500 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017013500 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017013500 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013400
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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