Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017013400 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,118
39017013400 is a census tract in Middletown, OH. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,118. Cost burden runs 54% here against 39.6% across Butler County.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units952
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$47,436
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5006, -84.3744 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,051 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 904Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2016)
- 90Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.0%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Butler County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 904 evictions over 13 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 16.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017013400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013400?
Census tract 39017013400 in Middletown scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017013400?
Median gross rent is $1,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013400?
24.9% of residents in tract 39017013400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,118.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 20th, minority 35th, housing 48th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 904 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.69% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017013400 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017013400 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017013400 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013500
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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