Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017014000 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,435 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Middletown
Census tract 39017014000 covers part of Middletown, OH, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,435. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share62.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate42.4%
Median income$34,643
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4832, -84.4277 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
42.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$683 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,024Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.6%Peak (2013)
- 85Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.0%Housing insecurity
- 23.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.8%Food insecurity
- 43.4%SNAP enrollment
- 20.7%Transit barriers
- 19.4%No health insurance
- 25.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
SNAP participation runs 43.4% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $683 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Middletown commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Butler County average of 4.3.
Court records carry 1,024 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 18.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017014000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014000?
Census tract 39017014000 in Middletown scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017014000?
Median gross rent is $683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014000?
42.4% of residents in tract 39017014000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,435.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 99th, minority 61th, housing 92th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,024 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.03% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017014000 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017014000 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017014000 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39017014100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013500
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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