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Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39017014000 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,435 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Middletown

Census tract 39017014000 covers Middletown in Butler County, home to 2,435 residents. For landlords it grades 6.5/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $683 monthly, set against $34,643 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 35% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share62.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate42.4%
Median income$34,643

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#424 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,240 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.4832, -84.4277 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middletown scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
42.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$683 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Middletown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middletown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 014000Middletown: 2.82.8Middletownparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,024Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 13.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.6%Peak (2013)
  • 85Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390170140002006: 60 filings (10.55/100 renter HHs)2007: 47 filings (8.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 66 filings (11.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 83 filings (14.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 85 filings (12.96/100 renter HHs)2011: 71 filings (12.12/100 renter HHs)2012: 89 filings (15.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 109 filings (18.60/100 renter HHs)2014: 69 filings (11.77/100 renter HHs)2015: 90 filings (15.36/100 renter HHs)2016: 77 filings (11.58/100 renter HHs)2017: 93 filings (13.98/100 renter HHs)2018: 85 filings (12.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middletown

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,024 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 13.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.6% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017014000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014000?

Census tract 39017014000 in Middletown scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017014000?

Median gross rent is $683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014000?

42.4% of residents in tract 39017014000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,435.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 99th, minority 61th, housing 92th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,024 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.03% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39017014000 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39017014000 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017014000 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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