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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cincinnati

Tract 39061010005 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 1,493 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District area of Cincinnati centers on tract 39061010005, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,493 residents. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,238 monthly, set against $49,375 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 13% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units541
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$49,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,022 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region

Centroid at 39.1220, -84.5955 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5

How Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 010005Cincinnati: 3.43.4Cincinnatiparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 280Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2014)
  • 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390610100052002: 23 filings (11.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (11.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (9.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (9.58/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (2.28/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (7.30/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (7.22/100 renter HHs)2011: 13 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (8.75/100 renter HHs)2014: 26 filings (9.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (8.37/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2018: 26 filings (9.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 152Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.25×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (1.67× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.77× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.45× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (1.36× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (2.22× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.77× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (3.75× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.45× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (2.14× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (3.13× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.54× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (2.86× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (1.54× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (2.14× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (3.75× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (1.82× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (2.14× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-06-01: 8 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.77× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (3.75× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.25x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39061010005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061010005?

Census tract 39061010005 in the Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39061010005?

Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39061010005?

11.2% of residents in tract 39061010005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,493.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39061010005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 53th, minority 59th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 39061010005 considered part of Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061010005 fall within Saint Peters Lick Run Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061010005?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 280 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061010005 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.50% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39061010005 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39061010005 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39061010005 compare to Cincinnati overall?

Tract 39061010005 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati

Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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