Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Northlawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095001100 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,414 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39095001100 covers part of the Northlawn area of Toledo, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,414 residents. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units906
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate47.6%
Median income$34,198
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6940, -83.5150 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northlawn scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
47.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Northlawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 691Total filings over 15 yrs
- 14.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.4%Peak (2006)
- 58Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 132% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northlawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.5%Housing insecurity
- 27.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.3%Food insecurity
- 47.3%SNAP enrollment
- 22.1%Transit barriers
- 16.6%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 45.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northlawn
Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 41.3% across Lucas County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 47.3% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 45.6% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2.
The filing record is not thin: 691 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 27.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095001100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001100?
Census tract 39095001100 in the Northlawn neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095001100?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001100?
47.6% of residents in tract 39095001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,414.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 95th, minority 88th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 39095001100 considered part of Northlawn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095001100 fall within Northlawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095001100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 691 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.67% of renter households, peaking at 27.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095001100 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095001100 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095001100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095001100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Scott Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Vistula Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Inverness Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Birmingham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
United
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Bush Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
East Toledo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
North Towne
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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