Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095002800 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,400 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 39095002800, in the Downtown neighborhood of Toledo eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,400. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
22% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $850 a month. About 98% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6543, -83.5358 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,051Total filings over 15 yrs
- 11.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2005)
- 47Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.2%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 27.8%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 14% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 39095002800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095002800?
What is the average rent in tract 39095002800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095002800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095002800?
Is tract 39095002800 considered part of Downtown?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095002800?
What share of households in tract 39095002800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39095002800 compare to Toledo overall?
Was tract 39095002800 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.