Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095002800 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,400 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 39095002800 sits in the Downtown area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. 22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Lucas County average of 41.3%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 76%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units714
Renter share97.8%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate37.0%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6543, -83.5358 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,051Total filings over 15 yrs
- 11.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2005)
- 47Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.2%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 27.8%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2.
Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,051 filings here across 15 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 18.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095002800?
Census tract 39095002800 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095002800?
Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095002800?
37.0% of residents in tract 39095002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,400.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 3th, minority 67th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 39095002800 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095002800 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,051 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.57% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095002800 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095002800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095002800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Northlawn
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Westmoreland
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Roosevelt
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39095007306
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Homeville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Northriver
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Roosevelt
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Southwyck
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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