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Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,400 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Downtown maps to a single census tract in Toledo, OH and houses 1,400 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. This is a renter market: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 17.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Cost burden runs about one in five against 28.4% citywide, putting Downtown 6.5% under its own city.

The filing record is not thin: 1,051 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 18.9% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10.

The most recent observed rate, 6.9% in 2018, is well off that peak. That places it #1 of 45 neighborhoods in Toledo. The closest comparables inside the same city are Roosevelt and Uptown.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.9% -23%
Toledo: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$850 -6%
Toledo: $901
Average HH income
$0 -100%
Toledo: $47,532
Poverty rate
37.0% +51%
Toledo: 24.5%
Renter share
97.8% +109%
Toledo: 46.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Downtown scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
98% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
37.0% below poverty line · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4DowntownNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39095002800 5.4 1,400 22% $850
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,051Total filings (sum)
  • 11.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak year (2005)
  • 6.93%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Toledo overall?

Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Toledo overall (4/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $850 vs $901.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $850/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

98% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 1,400 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 1,422 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (36.7%), Hispanic / Latino (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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