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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Scott Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095006700 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,730 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

39095006700 is a census tract in the Scott Park area of Toledo, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,730 residents. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 24% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units875
Renter share64.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate41.6%
Median income$33,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Scott Park
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6462, -83.6046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scott Park scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
41.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$901 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Scott Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scott Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0067004.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 474Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 12.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2016)
  • 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39095006700
Filings climbed 110% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scott Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scott Park

64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Lucas County average of 41.3%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

SNAP participation runs 33.9% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The filing record is not thin: 474 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 18.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095006700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095006700?

Census tract 39095006700 in the Scott Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095006700?

Median gross rent is $901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095006700?

41.6% of residents in tract 39095006700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,730.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095006700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 11th, minority 71th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 39095006700 considered part of Scott Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095006700 fall within Scott Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095006700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 474 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095006700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.56% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095006700 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095006700 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095006700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095006700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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