Scott Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 704 filings here across 15 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $800 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Toledo commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 14.2% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.