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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

United Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095006801 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,876 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

In United in Toledo, census tract 39095006801 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 64% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $686 a month against an average household income of $35,352 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 58% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share83.5%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate37.4%
Median income$35,352

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In United
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#228 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6267, -83.6167 · click any tract to drill in

Why United scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
37.4% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$686 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How United compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
United risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 006801Toledo: 3.33.3Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within United. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in United

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095006801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095006801?

Census tract 39095006801 in the United neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095006801?

Median gross rent is $686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095006801?

37.4% of residents in tract 39095006801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,876.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095006801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 8th, minority 55th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 39095006801 considered part of United?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095006801 fall within United (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095006801 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095006801 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095006801 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39095006801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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