Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Birckhead Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095001001 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,671 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 39095001001 covers part of the Birckhead Place area of Toledo, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,671. Against Lucas County at 41.3%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 41% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units621

Renter share49.0%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate41.5%

Median income$35,321

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6816, -83.5360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Birckhead Place scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

41.5% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$739 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Birckhead Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
32%Grade B
68%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Birckhead Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

39.6%Housing insecurity
34.6%Utility-shutoff threat
54.6%Food insecurity
59.4%SNAP enrollment
27.9%Transit barriers
20.9%No health insurance
25.7%Frequent mental distress
50.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Birckhead Place

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Average gross rent is $739, 18% below the Toledo average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.9% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095001001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001001?

Census tract 39095001001 in the Birckhead Place neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095001001?

Median gross rent is $739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001001?

41.5% of residents in tract 39095001001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,671.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 82th, minority 75th, housing 73th.

Is tract 39095001001 considered part of Birckhead Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095001001 fall within Birckhead Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095001001 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095001001 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095001001 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095001001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.