Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
East High Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099800600 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,369 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 39099800600 covers the East High area of Youngstown, home to 1,369 residents. For landlords it grades 6.9/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $422 a month while the average household earns $26,678 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units673
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate45.4%
Median income$26,678
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1079, -80.6249 · click any tract to drill in
Why East High scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
45.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$422 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How East High compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 89%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 316Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.5%Peak (2014)
- 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.4%Housing insecurity
- 34.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 58.0%Food insecurity
- 62.3%SNAP enrollment
- 29.1%Transit barriers
- 25.9%No health insurance
- 23.5%Frequent mental distress
- 52.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East High
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 316 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 13.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.5% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099800600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099800600?
Census tract 39099800600 in the East High neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099800600?
Median gross rent is $422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099800600?
45.4% of residents in tract 39099800600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,369.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099800600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 93th, minority 98th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 39099800600 considered part of East High?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099800600 fall within East High (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099800600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 316 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099800600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.83% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099800600 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099800600 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099800600 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099800600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Wick Park Historic District
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Buckeye Plat
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Cottage Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Bryn Mawr
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Arlington Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Lansdowne
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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