Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Cochran Park East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099801100 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,269 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 39099801100 covers the Cochran Park East area of Youngstown, home to 2,269 residents. For landlords it grades 6.9/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $921 monthly, set against $36,857 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 21% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units960
Renter share56.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate34.3%
Median income$36,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cochran Park East
Moderate
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#228 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.0668, -80.6401 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cochran Park East scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
34.3% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$921 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Cochran Park East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cochran Park East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 801100Youngstown: 3.23.2Youngstownparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 413Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 12.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2014)
  • 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390998011002009: 33 filings (10.22/100 renter HHs)2010: 42 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2011: 68 filings (13.23/100 renter HHs)2012: 70 filings (13.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 68 filings (13.23/100 renter HHs)2014: 77 filings (14.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 55 filings (11.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cochran Park East

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099801100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099801100?

Census tract 39099801100 in the Cochran Park East neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099801100?

Median gross rent is $921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099801100?

34.3% of residents in tract 39099801100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,269.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099801100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 97th, minority 76th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 39099801100 considered part of Cochran Park East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099801100 fall within Cochran Park East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099801100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 413 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099801100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.38% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099801100 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099801100 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099801100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099801100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related