Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Youngstown
Tract 39099801600 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,587 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 39099801600, home to 2,587 residents in Cottage Grove in Youngstown, scores 7.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #4,050 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $925 monthly, set against $29,120 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0664, -80.6533 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 59%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 619Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2014)
- 104Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.8%Housing insecurity
- 30.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.4%Food insecurity
- 50.8%SNAP enrollment
- 24.7%Transit barriers
- 17.9%No health insurance
- 25.0%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 34.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 30.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 39099801600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099801600?
What is the average rent in tract 39099801600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099801600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099801600?
Is tract 39099801600 considered part of Cottage Grove?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099801600?
What share of households in tract 39099801600 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39099801600 compare to Youngstown overall?
Was tract 39099801600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.