Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Flint Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099801700 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 933 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 39099801700 covers part of the Flint Hill area of Youngstown, OH, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units378
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate30.8%
Median income$28,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0830, -80.6515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flint Hill scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.8% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$728 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Flint Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 44%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 118Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2009)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Flint Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.4%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.4%Food insecurity
- 38.3%SNAP enrollment
- 18.8%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 43.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flint Hill
Food insecurity runs 38.4% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Mahoning County average of 42.6%. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 118 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2009 at 12.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099801700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099801700?
Census tract 39099801700 in the Flint Hill neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099801700?
Median gross rent is $728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099801700?
30.8% of residents in tract 39099801700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 933.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099801700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 83th, minority 83th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 39099801700 considered part of Flint Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099801700 fall within Flint Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099801700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 118 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099801700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.63% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099801700 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099801700 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099801700 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099801700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Kensington
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
La La Land
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cottage Grove
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bryn Mawr
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Flint Hill
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tech Block
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Stambaugh Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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