Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Flint Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099801700 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 933 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099801700 (the Flint Hill neighborhood of Youngstown, Ohio) comes in at 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $728 a month against an average household income of $28,333 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units378
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate30.8%
Median income$28,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0830, -80.6515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flint Hill scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.8% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$728 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Flint Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 44%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 118Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2009)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Flint Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.4%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.4%Food insecurity
- 38.3%SNAP enrollment
- 18.8%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 43.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flint Hill
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 118 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 10.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.2% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099801700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099801700?
Census tract 39099801700 in the Flint Hill neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099801700?
Median gross rent is $728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099801700?
30.8% of residents in tract 39099801700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 933.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099801700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 83th, minority 83th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 39099801700 considered part of Flint Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099801700 fall within Flint Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099801700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 118 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099801700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.63% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099801700 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099801700 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099801700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099801700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Stambaugh Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
La La Land
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cottage Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bryn Mawr
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Arlington Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related