Schenley Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

The voucher gap is 27.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Court records carry 155 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 10.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.