Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099804300 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 898 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 39099804300 sits in Kensington in Youngstown eviction risk, Ohio eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #11,490 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units340
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate53.1%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1280, -80.6404 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
53.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Kensington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 221Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.4%Peak (2012)
- 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.5%Housing insecurity
- 28.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.6%Food insecurity
- 50.7%SNAP enrollment
- 24.3%Transit barriers
- 18.4%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 47.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 32.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 28.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 221 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 15.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.4% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099804300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099804300?
Census tract 39099804300 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099804300?
53.1% of residents in tract 39099804300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 898.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099804300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 98th, minority 80th, housing 33th.
Q4
Is tract 39099804300 considered part of Kensington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099804300 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099804300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099804300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.44% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099804300 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099804300 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099804300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39099804300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Arlington Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Stambaugh Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
La La Land
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cottage Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bryn Mawr
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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