Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Austintown
Tract 39099812602 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,239 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 39099812602 sits in the Forest Green eviction risk area of Austintown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Population here is 5,239. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,464
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$57,450
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austintown and the region
Centroid at 41.0724, -80.7401 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Green scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$782 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4
How Forest Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 325Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2009)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Green
Against Mahoning County at 42.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
It sits 0.9 points below the Mahoning County average of 4.5. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 325 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 10.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $57,450, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $782, close to the Austintown average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099812602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812602?
Census tract 39099812602 in the Forest Green neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099812602?
Median gross rent is $782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812602?
11.6% of residents in tract 39099812602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,239.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 22th, minority 24th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 39099812602 considered part of Forest Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812602 fall within Forest Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.93% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099812602 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099812602 compare to Austintown overall?
Tract 39099812602 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Austintown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austintown
Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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