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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Austintown

Tract 39099812602 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,239 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.7/10 for census tract 39099812602 reflects conditions in the Forest Green area of Austintown, Ohio. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $782 a month against an average household income of $57,450 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 11% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,464
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$57,450

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Green
Moderate
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Austintown
Elevated
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Low
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,320 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austintown and the region

Centroid at 41.0724, -80.7401 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Green scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$782 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4

How Forest Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 812602Austintown: 2.62.6Austintownparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 325Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.3%Peak (2009)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390998126022009: 62 filings (10.30/100 renter HHs)2010: 43 filings (7.50/100 renter HHs)2011: 46 filings (10.24/100 renter HHs)2012: 55 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 44 filings (9.80/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2016: 44 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Green

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austintown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 325 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 8.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.3% of renter households in 2009.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099812602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812602?

Census tract 39099812602 in the Forest Green neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099812602?

Median gross rent is $782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812602?

11.6% of residents in tract 39099812602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,239.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 22th, minority 24th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 39099812602 considered part of Forest Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812602 fall within Forest Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.93% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099812602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099812602 compare to Austintown overall?

Tract 39099812602 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Austintown at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austintown

Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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