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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Stambaugh Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099814100 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,321 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099814100 (Stambaugh Park in Youngstown, Ohio) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #19,409 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 33% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $635 a month while the average household earns $33,479 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 38% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,027
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate29.6%
Median income$33,479

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Stambaugh Park
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#228 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.1193, -80.6946 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stambaugh Park scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.6% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$635 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Stambaugh Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stambaugh Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 814100Youngstown: 3.23.2Youngstownparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 401Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.3%Peak (2011)
  • 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390998141002009: 46 filings (6.54/100 renter HHs)2010: 50 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)2011: 72 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2012: 72 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 55 filings (8.62/100 renter HHs)2014: 37 filings (5.80/100 renter HHs)2016: 69 filings (11.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stambaugh Park

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099814100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099814100?

Census tract 39099814100 in the Stambaugh Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099814100?

Median gross rent is $635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099814100?

29.6% of residents in tract 39099814100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,321.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099814100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 98th, minority 68th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 39099814100 considered part of Stambaugh Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099814100 fall within Stambaugh Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099814100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 401 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099814100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.91% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099814100 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099814100 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099814100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099814100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 58% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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