Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Huffman Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113002000 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,487 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113002000 in the Huffman Historic District area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,487 residents. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,443
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate41.3%
Median income$28,129
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7712, -84.1461 · click any tract to drill in
Why Huffman Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
41.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$741 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Huffman Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,493Total filings over 17 yrs
- 10.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2010)
- 69Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Huffman Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.2%Housing insecurity
- 20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.8%Food insecurity
- 35.8%SNAP enrollment
- 18.1%Transit barriers
- 17.2%No health insurance
- 23.9%Frequent mental distress
- 41.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Huffman Historic District
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Food insecurity runs 34.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Housing insecurity runs 25.2% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $741, 19% below the Dayton average.
The filing record is not thin: 1,493 evictions over 17 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 14.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113002000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002000?
Census tract 39113002000 in the Huffman Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113002000?
Median gross rent is $741/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002000?
41.3% of residents in tract 39113002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,487.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 71th, minority 54th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 39113002000 considered part of Huffman Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113002000 fall within Huffman Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,493 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.60% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113002000 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113002000 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113002000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113002000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113000200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
West Third Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Twin Towers
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000500
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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