Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Huffman Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113002300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,576 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113002300 in the Huffman Historic District area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,576. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.2/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units962
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate36.7%
Median income$34,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7602, -84.1514 · click any tract to drill in
Why Huffman Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
36.7% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Huffman Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 14%Grade B
- 67%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,451Total filings over 17 yrs
- 12.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2005)
- 75Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Huffman Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.7%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.6%Food insecurity
- 35.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 18.1%No health insurance
- 24.5%Frequent mental distress
- 43.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Huffman Historic District
SNAP participation runs 35.0% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Cost burden runs about half here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 1,451 evictions over 17 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 14.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113002300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002300?
Census tract 39113002300 in the Huffman Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113002300?
Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002300?
36.7% of residents in tract 39113002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,576.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 48th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 39113002300 considered part of Huffman Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113002300 fall within Huffman Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,451 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.19% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113002300 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113002300 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113002300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113002300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Park Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
West Third Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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