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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Huffman Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001900 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,568 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

39113001900 is a census tract in the Huffman Historic District area of Dayton, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,568. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 33% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,904
Renter share66.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$33,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Huffman Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 51 tracts In Dayton
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#44 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7630, -84.1665 · click any tract to drill in

Why Huffman Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$729 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Huffman Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Huffman Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0019004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,663Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak (2010)
  • 78Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113001900
Filings dropped 28% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Huffman Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Huffman Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. SNAP participation runs 29.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Montgomery County average of 42.9%. At $729 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Dayton commands.

It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,663 filings here across 17 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 12.9% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001900?

Census tract 39113001900 in the Huffman Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113001900?

Median gross rent is $729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001900?

35.0% of residents in tract 39113001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,568.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 83th, minority 54th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 39113001900 considered part of Huffman Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001900 fall within Huffman Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,663 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.88% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113001900 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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