Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113003300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 5,940 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 39113003300 covers the Walnut Hills neighborhood of Dayton, home to 5,940 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,031 a month against an average household income of $59,711 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,184
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$59,711
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7431, -84.1602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hills scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,031 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Walnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 64%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,128Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2014)
- 58Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.4%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hills
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113003300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003300?
Census tract 39113003300 in the Walnut Hills neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113003300?
Median gross rent is $1,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003300?
19.4% of residents in tract 39113003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,940.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 72th, minority 46th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 39113003300 considered part of Walnut Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113003300 fall within Walnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,128 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113003300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.24% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113003300 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113003300 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113003300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113003300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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South Park Historic District
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5.9
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Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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Huffman Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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Huffman Historic District
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/ 10 · Elevated
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Eagle Ridge
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39113000200
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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