Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113040101 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,772 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
39113040101 is a census tract in the South Dayton area of Montgomery County, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,772. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units812
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$109,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6653, -84.1702 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
5.0
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 9 yrs
- 6.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2004)
- 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 8.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113040101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040101?
Census tract 39113040101 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113040101?
Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040101?
5.1% of residents in tract 39113040101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,772.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 40th, minority 17th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 39113040101 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113040101 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 39113040101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.65% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113040101 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113040101 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113040101 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related