Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113040201 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,908 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
39113040201 is a census tract in the South Dayton area of Centerville, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,908. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share12.6%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$91,118
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6660, -84.1475 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$985 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.8
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
At $985 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Centerville commands. Food insecurity runs 5.4% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.2.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. Court records carry 26 eviction filings across 13 observed years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1/10. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $91,118, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113040201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040201?
Census tract 39113040201 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113040201?
Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040201?
0.5% of residents in tract 39113040201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,908.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 13th, minority 6th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 39113040201 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113040201 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39113040201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.41% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113040201 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113040201 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113040201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113040204
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
South Dayton
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040203
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040303
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040306
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
3
/ 10 · Low
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