Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113040201 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,908 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 39113040201 covers South Dayton in Kettering in Ohio. Home to 2,908 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $985 a month against an average household income of $91,118 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share12.6%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$91,118
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6660, -84.1475 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$985 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.8
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Kettering eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 1.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.4% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113040201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040201?
Census tract 39113040201 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113040201?
Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040201?
0.5% of residents in tract 39113040201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,908.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 13th, minority 6th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 39113040201 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113040201 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39113040201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.41% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113040201 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113040201 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113040201 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040204
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040203
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
South Dayton
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040303
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
39113040306
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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