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Neighborhood · Kettering, OH

South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower

7 census tracts · pop 16,231 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–4.2

South Dayton spans 7 census tracts of Kettering, OH and houses 16,231 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Kettering rate of 27.5%.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

Court records carry 282 eviction filings across its 7 observed tracts. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 14.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation is 5.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 10.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 3.0% in 2018, is well off that peak. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
7 tracts · population-weighted
South Dayton vs Kettering How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.8% +81%
Kettering: 27.5%
Average gross rent
$1,109 +6%
Kettering: $1,051
Average HH income
$87,043 +22%
Kettering: $71,619
Poverty rate
4.7% -45%
Kettering: 8.5%
Renter share
24.4% -31%
Kettering: 35.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Dayton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 3–4.2

Why South Dayton scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.4–5.6 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 2.4–5.1 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–5.0 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 4.0–7.4 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8–5.0 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–10.0 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

South Dayton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Dayton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1South DaytonNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Dayton?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3 to 4.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in South Dayton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39113020500 4.2 1,491 56% $899
39113020601 3.1 1,672 43% $1,280
39113040103 3 3,356 60% $1,750
39113020700 3 3,208 41% $1,199
39113040201 3 2,908 28% $985
39113020602 3 1,824 100% ,
39113040101 3 1,772 31% $1,096
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 13%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Dayton

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 282Total filings (sum)
  • 2.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.42%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Dayton

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Dayton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Dayton?

South Dayton scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Dayton compare to Kettering overall?

South Dayton scores 0.9 points lower than Kettering overall (4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,109 vs $1,051.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Dayton?

Average gross rent in South Dayton eviction risk is $1,109/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Dayton residents are renters?

24% of South Dayton households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Kettering). The neighborhood has 16,231 residents.
Q5

Is South Dayton a high social-vulnerability area?

South Dayton sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Dayton have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Dayton is census tract 39113020500 (score 4.2/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is South Dayton for landlords?

South Dayton eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kettering as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Dayton?

South Dayton has 15,790 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (89.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Dayton

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