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Neighborhood · Kettering, OH

South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower

7 census tracts · pop 16,231 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.4/10 · range 2–3.4

South Dayton is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Kettering with 7 census tracts and a population of 16,231 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,109/month sits 6% higher than the Kettering citywide average ($1,051).

Risk score
2.4
Lower
7 tracts · population-weighted
South Dayton vs Kettering How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.8% +81%
Kettering: 27.5%
Average gross rent
$1,109 +6%
Kettering: $1,051
Average HH income
$87,043 +22%
Kettering: $71,619
Poverty rate
4.7% -45%
Kettering: 8.5%
Renter share
24.4% -31%
Kettering: 35.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Dayton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 2–3.4

Why South Dayton scores 2.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.4–5.6 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 2.4–5.1 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–5.0 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 4.0–7.4 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8–5.0 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–10.0 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

South Dayton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Dayton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Dayton: 2.42.4South DaytonNeighborhoodParent city: 2.42.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Dayton?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 2 to 3.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in South Dayton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39113020500 3.4 1,491 56% $899
39113020601 2.6 1,672 43% $1,280
39113020700 2.5 3,208 41% $1,199
39113040101 2.3 1,772 31% $1,096
39113040201 2.1 2,908 28% $985
39113020602 2.1 1,824 100%
39113040103 2 3,356 60% $1,750
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 13%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Dayton

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 282Total filings (sum)
  • 2.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.42%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Dayton

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Dayton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Dayton?

South Dayton scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Dayton compare to Kettering overall?

South Dayton scores 0.0 points higher than Kettering overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,109 vs $1,051.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Dayton?

Average gross rent in South Dayton eviction risk is $1,109/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Dayton residents are renters?

24% of South Dayton households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Kettering). The neighborhood has 16,231 residents.
Q5

Is South Dayton a high social-vulnerability area?

South Dayton sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Dayton have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Dayton is census tract 39113020500 (score 3.4/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2 to 3.4, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is South Dayton for landlords?

South Dayton eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.4/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kettering as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Dayton?

South Dayton has 15,790 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (89.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Dayton

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