Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113020700 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,208 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
39113020700 is a census tract in the South Dayton area of Kettering, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,208 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,590
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$79,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6929, -84.1563 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 75Total filings over 17 yrs
- 0.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2014)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.2.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 75 filings here across 17 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,199, 14% above the Kettering average. Filings peaked in 2014 at 1.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.9/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113020700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020700?
Census tract 39113020700 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113020700?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020700?
6.5% of residents in tract 39113020700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,208.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 7th, minority 18th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 39113020700 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113020700 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 75 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113020700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.90% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113020700 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113020700 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113020700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113020700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Dayton
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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