Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113020602 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,824 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
39113020602 is a census tract in the South Dayton area of Kettering, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. 100% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Montgomery County average of 42.9%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units736
Renter share1.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$97,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6758, -84.1556 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 8 yrs
- 8.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2002)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 14 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2002, when 10.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113020602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020602?
Census tract 39113020602 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020602?
3.4% of residents in tract 39113020602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,824.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 39th, minority 7th, housing 13th.
Q4
Is tract 39113020602 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113020602 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 39113020602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.94% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113020602 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113020602 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113020602 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Dayton
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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