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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Centerville Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39113040403 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,927 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Centerville Historic District in Centerville anchors census tract 39113040403, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,288 monthly, set against $58,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,046
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$58,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Centerville Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Centerville
Very High
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#1,651 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Centerville and the region

Centroid at 39.6206, -84.1702 · click any tract to drill in

Why Centerville Historic District scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Centerville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centerville
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centerville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centerville
4.8

How Centerville Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Centerville Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 040403Centerville: 2.52.5Centervilleparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 444Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2010)
  • 32Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130404032002: 24 filings (4.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (4.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 21 filings (3.96/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2006: 32 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2007: 25 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2008: 32 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2009: 23 filings (4.47/100 renter HHs)2010: 38 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (2.85/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2014: 29 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (1.78/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2017: 15 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2018: 32 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Centerville Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Centerville Historic District

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Centerville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 444 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113040403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040403?

Census tract 39113040403 in the Centerville Historic District neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113040403?

Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040403?

13.7% of residents in tract 39113040403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,927.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 46th, minority 17th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 39113040403 considered part of Centerville Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113040403 fall within Centerville Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 444 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113040403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.12% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113040403 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113040403 compare to Centerville overall?

Tract 39113040403 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Centerville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centerville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Centerville

Top eight tracts in Centerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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