Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Centerville Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113040302 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 5,689 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 39113040302 covers part of the Centerville Historic District area of Centerville, OH, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,689 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,806
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$73,222
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Centerville and the region
Centroid at 39.6264, -84.1482 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centerville Historic District scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Centerville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,163 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centerville
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centerville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centerville
4.8
How Centerville Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 260Total filings over 17 yrs
- 2.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2005)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centerville Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centerville Historic District
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.7/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 260 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 3.4% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $1,163, 8% below the Centerville average. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10.
It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $73,222.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113040302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040302?
Census tract 39113040302 in the Centerville Historic District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113040302?
Median gross rent is $1,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040302?
16.8% of residents in tract 39113040302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,689.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 55th, minority 32th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 39113040302 considered part of Centerville Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113040302 fall within Centerville Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 260 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113040302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.05% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113040302 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113040302 compare to Centerville overall?
Tract 39113040302 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Centerville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centerville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Centerville
Top eight tracts in Centerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113040204
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040303
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040306
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040406
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
South Dayton
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
South Dayton
3
/ 10 · Low
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