Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Tod Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren
Tract 39155921000 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 5,615 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 39155921000 belongs to the Tod Heights area of Warren, Ohio. It is home to 5,615 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $886 monthly, set against $41,402 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,499
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate27.3%
Median income$41,402
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2549, -80.8449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tod Heights scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.3% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$886 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Tod Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 126Total filings over 1 yrs
- 12.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2016)
- 126Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.6%Food insecurity
- 25.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tod Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921000?
Census tract 39155921000 in the Tod Heights neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921000?
Median gross rent is $886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921000?
27.3% of residents in tract 39155921000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,615.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 67th, minority 57th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921000 considered part of Tod Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921000 fall within Tod Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.20% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921000 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921000 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921000 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Jefferson
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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