Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Park Avenue Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren
Tract 39155921100 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,942 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Park Avenue Heights area of Warren is where census tract 39155921100 sits, home to 3,942 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $676 a month while the average household earns $31,146 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,792
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$31,146
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2521, -80.8123 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Avenue Heights scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$676 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Park Avenue Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 3%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2016)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.7%Food insecurity
- 30.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 22.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Avenue Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921100?
Census tract 39155921100 in the Park Avenue Heights neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921100?
Median gross rent is $676/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921100?
34.9% of residents in tract 39155921100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,942.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 87th, minority 48th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921100 considered part of Park Avenue Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921100 fall within Park Avenue Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.87% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921100 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921100 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Jefferson
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tod Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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