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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Saddleback Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143007536 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,680 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 40143007536 covers part of the Saddleback area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,680. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 4% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,024
Renter share8.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$111,765

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Saddleback
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#205 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 35.9811, -95.7795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saddleback scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,667 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Saddleback compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saddleback risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 007536Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saddleback

Average gross rent is $2,667, 102% above the Broken Arrow average. The voucher gap is 126.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against Tulsa County at 40.3%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Tulsa County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007536

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007536?

Census tract 40143007536 in the Saddleback neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007536?

Median gross rent is $2,667/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007536?

8.6% of residents in tract 40143007536 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,680.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007536?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 42th, minority 38th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007536 considered part of Saddleback?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007536 fall within Saddleback (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007536 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007536 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143007536 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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