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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Creek 51 Business Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030502 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,668 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

40145030502 is a census tract in the Creek 51 Business Park area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,668. Against Wagoner County at 39.6%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units941
Renter share8.0%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$97,120

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Creek 51 Business Park
Moderate
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0391, -95.7438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Creek 51 Business Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Creek 51 Business Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Creek 51 Business Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 030502Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Creek 51 Business Park

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 32.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

At $1,566 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. It sits 0.8 points below the Wagoner County average of 3.8.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $97,120.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030502?

Census tract 40145030502 in the Creek 51 Business Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40145030502?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030502?

10.7% of residents in tract 40145030502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,668.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 59th, minority 37th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 40145030502 considered part of Creek 51 Business Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030502 fall within Creek 51 Business Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40145030502 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40145030502 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030502 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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