Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Creek 51 Business Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40145030502 ·
Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,668 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
40145030502 is a census tract in the Creek 51 Business Park area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,668. Against Wagoner County at 39.6%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 3%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units941
Renter share8.0%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$97,120
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Creek 51 Business Park
Moderate
Within parent city
23th percentile
#34 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Low
Within county
29th percentile
#18 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0391, -95.7438 · click any tract to drill in
Why Creek 51 Business Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Creek 51 Business Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
18%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.0%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Creek 51 Business Park
Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
The voucher gap is 32.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
At $1,566 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. It sits 0.8 points below the Wagoner County average of 3.8.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $97,120.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 40145030502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030502?
Census tract 40145030502 in the Creek 51 Business Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40145030502?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030502?
10.7% of residents in tract 40145030502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 59th, minority 37th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 40145030502 considered part of Creek 51 Business Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030502 fall within Creek 51 Business Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40145030502 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40145030502 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40145030502 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.