Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Center Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40145030508 ·
Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,195 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 40145030508 sits in the Center Valley area of Broken Arrow eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,195 residents. Cost burden runs 60% here against 39.6% across Wagoner County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 2%Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units857
Renter share5.0%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$95,481
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Center Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
65th percentile
#16 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Elevated
Within county
4th percentile
#24 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Very Low
Within state
35th percentile
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0463, -95.7170 · click any tract to drill in
Why Center Valley scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,596 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Center Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
23%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.9%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Center Valley
The voucher gap is 35.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $1,596 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Wagoner County average of 3.8.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40145030508
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030508?
Census tract 40145030508 in the Center Valley neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40145030508?
Median gross rent is $1,596/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030508?
3.2% of residents in tract 40145030508 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,195.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030508?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 65th, minority 38th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 40145030508 considered part of Center Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030508 fall within Center Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40145030508 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40145030508 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40145030508 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.