Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Antler Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030509 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 5,703 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 40145030509 in the Antler Falls area of Broken Arrow, OK reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,703. Against Wagoner County at 39.6%, 17% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 7% Owners 92%

Tract context

Occupied units2,104

Renter share8.5%

SVI overall0.09

Poverty rate1.6%

Median income$121,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0463, -95.6902 · click any tract to drill in

Why Antler Falls scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.5

State political climate

Oklahoma legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

1.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,726 rent vs county FMR

9.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

How Antler Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

9%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.6%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
30.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Antler Falls

The voucher gap is 46.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.6/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

At $1,726 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Wagoner County average of 3.8.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $121,417, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030509

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030509?

Census tract 40145030509 in the Antler Falls neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 40145030509?

Median gross rent is $1,726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030509?

1.6% of residents in tract 40145030509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,703.

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030509?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 39th, minority 33th, housing 9th.

Is tract 40145030509 considered part of Antler Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030509 fall within Antler Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 40145030509 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 40145030509 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030509 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.