Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Highlands Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Oswego

Tract 41005020101 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 2,381 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

41005020101 is a census tract in the Forest Highlands area of Lake Oswego, OR. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. 54% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 19% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,172

Renter share49.7%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$101,528

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Oswego and the region

Centroid at 45.4287, -122.6918 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Highlands scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Oswego

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.6

State political climate

Oregon legislature & governorship

7.2

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,783 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Oswego

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Oswego

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Oswego

4.4

How Forest Highlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Highlands

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 61% here against 50.1% across Clackamas County. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

At $1,783 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Lake Oswego commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Clackamas County average of 5.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $101,528.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005020101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005020101?

Census tract 41005020101 in the Forest Highlands neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 41005020101?

Median gross rent is $1,783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005020101?

6.0% of residents in tract 41005020101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,381.

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005020101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 4th, minority 25th, housing 14th.

Is tract 41005020101 considered part of Forest Highlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005020101 fall within Forest Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 41005020101 compare to Lake Oswego overall?

Tract 41005020101 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lake Oswego at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 41005020101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Oswego

Top eight tracts in Lake Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.