Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Kestrel Park Eviction Risk: High , Ashland
Tract 41029001900 · Jackson County, OR · pop 2,998 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 41029001900 covers part of the Kestrel Park area of Ashland, OR, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,998 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,114
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$49,722
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 42.1875, -122.6950 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kestrel Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
7.4
How Kestrel Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2008)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 108Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kestrel Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kestrel Park
Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 46.7% across Jackson County. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 234 evictions over 14 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2008 at 3.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029001900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029001900?
Census tract 41029001900 in the Kestrel Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029001900?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029001900?
21.9% of residents in tract 41029001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,998.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029001900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 15th, minority 48th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 41029001900 considered part of Kestrel Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029001900 fall within Kestrel Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029001900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41029001900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41029001900 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 41029001900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related