Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Kestrel Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ashland
Tract 41029001802 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,042 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 41029001802 covers the Kestrel Park neighborhood of Ashland in Oregon. Home to 4,042 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,723 a month against an average household income of $70,769 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,914
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$70,769
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 42.2070, -122.7079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kestrel Park scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,723 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
7.4
How Kestrel Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 10Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kestrel Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kestrel Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jackson County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.27x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029001802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029001802?
Census tract 41029001802 in the Kestrel Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029001802?
Median gross rent is $1,723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029001802?
17.5% of residents in tract 41029001802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,042.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029001802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 38th, minority 33th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 41029001802 considered part of Kestrel Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029001802 fall within Kestrel Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41029001802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41029001802 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 41029001802 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Ashland at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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