Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039003500 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,608 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Springfield
41039003500 is a census tract in Springfield, OR. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,608. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,734
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$85,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0302, -122.9739 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springfield scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,551 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How Springfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 204Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2012)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 61Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springfield
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,551, 23% above the Springfield average.
Cost burden runs 40% here against 46.2% across Lane County. It sits 1.1 points below the Lane County average of 6.2.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 204 evictions over 16 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039003500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039003500?
Census tract 41039003500 in Springfield scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039003500?
Median gross rent is $1,551/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039003500?
6.0% of residents in tract 41039003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,608.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039003500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 69th, minority 41th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039003500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 204 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.09% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039003500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039003500 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039003500 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Glen
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039003400
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Thurston
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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