Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem
Tract 41047000502 · Marion County, OR · pop 6,639 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
41047000502 is a census tract in the Oak Park area of Salem, OR. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,639 residents. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,195
Renter share77.8%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$36,665
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9714, -122.9989 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Park scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How Oak Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,306Total filings over 16 yrs
- 9.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2012)
- 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Park
64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Marion County average of 48.4%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.7/10.
The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $36,665 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
It sits 1.8 points above the Marion County average of 6.0. Disability prevalence runs 46.9% against 31.5% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 26.0% against 11.3% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,306 evictions over 16 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,264, 10% below the Salem average. Filings peaked in 2012 at 9.2% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047000502?
Census tract 41047000502 in the Oak Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047000502?
Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047000502?
38.8% of residents in tract 41047000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,639.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 96th, minority 66th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 41047000502 considered part of Oak Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047000502 fall within Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047000502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,306 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.65% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047000502 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047000502 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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