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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

Tract 41047001701 · Marion County, OR · pop 6,666 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 41047001701 (the Oak Park neighborhood of Salem, Oregon) comes in at 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 91% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,301 a month while the average household earns $55,505 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 27% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,421
Renter share67.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$55,505

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Oak Park
Elevated
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 40 tracts In Salem
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#67 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9484, -122.9860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Park scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Oak Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 001701Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,146Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2013)
  • 91Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470017012000: 85 filings (5.65/100 renter HHs)2001: 63 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2002: 52 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 61 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)2004: 64 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 68 filings (4.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 84 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 56 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2008: 67 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 52 filings (3.15/100 renter HHs)2010: 76 filings (4.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 80 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 62 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 107 filings (6.17/100 renter HHs)2014: 78 filings (4.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 91 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Park

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,146 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.2% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001701?

Census tract 41047001701 in the Oak Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001701?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001701?

22.2% of residents in tract 41047001701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,666.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 98th, minority 69th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001701 considered part of Oak Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001701 fall within Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,146 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.36% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047001701 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001701 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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