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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

Tract 41047001607 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,844 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 41047001607 in the Oak Park area of Salem, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,844 residents. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 27% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share86.4%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$36,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Oak Park
Elevated
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 40 tracts In Salem
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9616, -122.9834 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Park scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,509 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Oak Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0016076.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Park

Cost burden runs 68% here against 48.4% across Marion County. Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $36,705, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.8 points above the Marion County average of 6.0.

Disability prevalence runs 47.3% against 31.5% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.0% against 11.3% nationally.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001607

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001607?

Census tract 41047001607 in the Oak Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001607?

Median gross rent is $1,509/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001607?

35.9% of residents in tract 41047001607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,844.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001607?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 92th, minority 79th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001607 considered part of Oak Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001607 fall within Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41047001607 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001607 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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