Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem
Tract 41047001608 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,916 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 41047001608 sits in the Oak Park area of Salem eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Population here is 4,916. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,580
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$83,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9619, -122.9709 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Park scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How Oak Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Park
Against Marion County at 48.4%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,190, 15% below the Salem average. It sits 0.7 points above the Marion County average of 6.0.
On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $83,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001608
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001608?
Census tract 41047001608 in the Oak Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001608?
Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001608?
17.2% of residents in tract 41047001608 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,916.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001608?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 92th, minority 63th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 41047001608 considered part of Oak Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001608 fall within Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41047001608 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047001608 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related