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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Salem

Tract 41047001702 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,814 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 41047001702, in Oak Park in Salem eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,814. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,374 monthly, set against $70,485 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 18% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$70,485

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Oak Park
Low
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 40 tracts In Salem
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 65 tracts In Marion County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#184 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9471, -122.9713 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Park scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Oak Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 001702Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 591Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 5.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2001)
  • 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470017022000: 33 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2001: 63 filings (9.57/100 renter HHs)2002: 34 filings (5.17/100 renter HHs)2003: 45 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 54 filings (8.21/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (3.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 36 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2007: 31 filings (3.88/100 renter HHs)2008: 20 filings (2.51/100 renter HHs)2009: 25 filings (3.13/100 renter HHs)2010: 39 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2011: 58 filings (7.05/100 renter HHs)2012: 32 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2014: 29 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2016: 32 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Park

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 591 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001702?

Census tract 41047001702 in the Oak Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001702?

Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001702?

15.2% of residents in tract 41047001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,814.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 89th, minority 66th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001702 considered part of Oak Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001702 fall within Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 591 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047001702 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001702 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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