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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

Tract 41047001702 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,814 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 41047001702 sits in the Oak Park area of Salem eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Population here is 5,814. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 18% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$70,485

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Oak Park
Very Low
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#20 of 40 tracts In Salem
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#326 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9471, -122.9713 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Park scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Oak Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0017026.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 591Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 5.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2001)
  • 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047001702
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Park

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 591 filings here across 16 tracked years.

It sits 0.8 points above the Marion County average of 6.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2001 at 9.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001702?

Census tract 41047001702 in the Oak Park neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001702?

Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001702?

15.2% of residents in tract 41047001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,814.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 89th, minority 66th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001702 considered part of Oak Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001702 fall within Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 591 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047001702 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001702 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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