Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051001204 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,859 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
41051001204 is a census tract in the Belmont area of Portland, OR. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,859. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,503
Renter share84.9%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$79,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5172, -122.6422 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,731 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Belmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 57%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 135Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont
This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051001204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051001204?
Census tract 41051001204 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051001204?
Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051001204?
9.9% of residents in tract 41051001204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051001204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 1th, minority 43th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 41051001204 considered part of Belmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051001204 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051001204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051001204 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051001204 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051001204 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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