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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051001301 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,958 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 41051001301 in the Belmont area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 35% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,032
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$95,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Belmont
High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 168 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#77 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5157, -122.6289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Belmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0013017.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 182Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 1.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2000)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41051001301
Filings dropped 75% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 68Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Court records carry 182 eviction filings across 16 observed years. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. At $1,828 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Portland commands.

The worst year on record was 2000, when 2.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051001301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051001301?

Census tract 41051001301 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051001301?

Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051001301?

14.7% of residents in tract 41051001301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051001301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 3th, minority 21th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 41051001301 considered part of Belmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051001301 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051001301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 182 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051001301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.00% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051001301 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051001301 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051001301 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051001301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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