Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051002702 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,629 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 41051002702 sits in the Belmont area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 3,629 residents. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$90,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5348, -122.6160 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Belmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 72%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 289Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2004)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 187Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,392 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Portland commands.
Court records carry 289 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 3.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002702?
Census tract 41051002702 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002702?
Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002702?
9.0% of residents in tract 41051002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 47th, minority 38th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002702 considered part of Belmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002702 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 289 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051002702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051002702 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002702 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051002702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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