Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051002502 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,491 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 41051002502 in the Belmont area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,212
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$88,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5349, -122.6391 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,638 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Belmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 63%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 449Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2001)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 41% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 449 filings here across 16 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 4.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002502?
Census tract 41051002502 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002502?
Median gross rent is $1,638/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002502?
12.7% of residents in tract 41051002502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,491.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 3th, minority 35th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002502 considered part of Belmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002502 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 449 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051002502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051002502 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002502 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051002502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Ladd's Addition
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gateway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Nob Hill
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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