Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051002001 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,419 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 8.4/10, tract 41051002001 in the Belmont area of Portland, OR reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,419 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 35% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,174
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$79,615

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Belmont
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 168 tracts In Portland
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5256, -122.6339 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Belmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0020017.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 174Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.05×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,572, close to the Portland average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $79,615.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051002001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002001?

Census tract 41051002001 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051002001?

Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002001?

16.8% of residents in tract 41051002001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,419.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 5th, minority 29th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 41051002001 considered part of Belmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002001 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051002001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051002001 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051002001 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051002001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related