Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051002001 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,419 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Belmont area of Portland is where census tract 41051002001 sits, home to 2,419 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #4,061 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,572 a month against an average household income of $79,615 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,174
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$79,615
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5256, -122.6339 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Belmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 174Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.05x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Part of this tract, about 32% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002001?
Census tract 41051002001 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002001?
Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002001?
16.8% of residents in tract 41051002001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,419.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 5th, minority 29th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002001 considered part of Belmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002001 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051002001 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002001 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051002001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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